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This animated projection of their population pyramid shows the future quite neatly: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Population_pyramid_of_Japan_from_2020_to
by jahnu 3y ago
This animated projection of their population pyramid shows the future quite neatly:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Population_pyramid_of_Japan_from_2020_to_2100.gif https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Population_pyramid_of_Jap...
Used on this page:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Aging_of_Japan https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Aging_of_Japan
- 8lahaj 3y agoWow that's pretty grim.
- RGamma 3y agoIt actually gets better toward the end as the working age/pensioner ratio increases and average age decreases (visual estimation). It's getting over the "lump" that's gonna be painful. That said there's no way the population will actually evolve like that...
- gota 3y ago2055 is going to be the roughest. Eyeballing it looks like by then the current 'lump' of 45-50 will make it above 80, with not enough replacement of younger folks
- biscottigelato 3y agoThis assumes thew birth rate holds steady at what it is today (1.1 or something?). My suspicion is that the birth rate will actually trend lower...
- sbierwagen 3y agoSouth Korea is already down to 0.78 https://www.npr.org/2023/03/19/1163341684/south-korea-fertility-rate https://www.npr.org/2023/03/19/1163341684/south-korea-fertil...
- famouswaffles 3y agoSouth Korea is Japan on speedrun lol.
- rcarr 3y agoI'd also suspect it doesn't take into account that medical and safety tech is likely only going to improve. If people live longer, the pyramid is going to become even more top heavy.