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Do they control for the fact that populists will have more electoral success during financial crises and such? AEA is the economic establishment so hardly the
by Fluorescence 3y ago
Do they control for the fact that populists will have more electoral success during financial crises and such?
AEA is the economic establishment so hardly the people I would trust to fairly judge those that challenge the status quo.
- RandomLensman 3y agoIs that even true on populist and financial crises?
- Fluorescence 3y agoI'd be curious about what the data shows. I would describe it as the "conventional wisdom" account of how populism functions e.g. the Great Depression is described as a necessary context for Hitler's popularism to be effective i.e. economic grievance fuels anti-establishment / anti-elite narratives. You get the Occupy Wallstreet movement after a crash/recession, not during a boom.
- RandomLensman 3y agoYes, it would indeed be interesting to see a proper analysis on timing of populism vs the economy.
- pydry 3y agohttps://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3289741 https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3289741 Yes. It appears that Manuel Funke, Moritz Schularick and Christoph Trebesch may not have been as conscientious as they could have been about reviewing prior literature.
- RandomLensman 3y agoWell, for starters this is newer than their initial work. Also, isn't this looking at the issue the other way around and at a single example? Edit: post changed the paper linked, but generally my point stands.
- pydry 3y agoThis paper was just released.
- RandomLensman 3y agoYes and no. This is work a few years old. And as I said, the paper you cite is looking at the situation from the other end, i.e., economic effects on governments.