Do you know the difference between "if A then B" and "if B then A"? This is the same thing, but with probabilities: "if A, then 5% chance of B" and "if B, then

Do you know the difference between "if A then B" and "if B then A"? This is the same thing, but with probabilities: "if A, then 5% chance of B" and "if B, then 5% chance of A". Those are two very different things. p=0.05 means "if hypothesis is wrong, then 5% chance of published research". It does not mean "if published research, then 5% chance of wrong hypothesis"; but most people believe it does, including probably most scientists.