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The article says: > Boundary positions do not demarcate or predict singular threshold shifts in Earth system state. They are placed at a level where the availa
by lkbm 3y ago
The article says:
> Boundary positions do not demarcate or predict singular threshold shifts in Earth system state. They are placed at a level where the available evidence suggests that further perturbation of the individual process could potentially lead to systemic planetary change by altering and fundamentally reshaping the dynamics and spatiotemporal patterns of geosphere-biosphere interactions and their feedbacks
Probably would need to read more to get a clear understanding of exactly what they mean and how they're defined, but it sounds like we're to an unstable place. Perhaps somewhat analogous to skating on thin ice: you may not have haven't broken through yet, but you're in a spot where a break could happen at any moment and from any movement.
- haltist 3y agoCalifornia's climate patterns are already changing but the state has managed to deal with the problems and will probably continue to do so. Texas on the other hand is starting to see problems with their electricity grid during summers and it's going to keep getting worse as temperatures continue to rise.
- SV_BubbleTime 3y agoMy man, this comment is so wildly antiscience. I don’t know where to begin. I’m not sure if it would be with forest management, or the complexity and reasons that cut Texas has its own grid, separated from everyone else. I’m not sure I would say either directly applicable to this topic.
- autoexec 3y agoTexas throwing a tantrum and refusing to have their power grid under federal regulation will become increasingly applicable to the topic since the changes we're causing to our planet and its climate will put even more strain on their weak and inflexible power grid. People in texas are already dying from the heat in the summer and freezing to death in the winter and it's only going to get worse.
- autoexec 3y agoCalifornia's "dealing with the problems" seems like a lot of shortsighted non-sustainable policy. Parts of CA are burning right now. At this point they've been bragging about maybe not having to go back to rolling blackouts. Reliably providing even the most basic services like water and power is such an astonishingly low bar that only in the poorest developing nations should that even be in question yet here we are. Long term, I don't see Texas or California holding up very well to climate change.
- haltist 3y agoWhat states do you think will manage to deal with climate change if not California?
- autoexec 3y agoI know there have been models to predict which areas of the country are expected to be most/least impacted by climate change but I'm not qualified to judge them. I suspect that increasing heat and desertification will leave much of the southern and western US in very bad shape. Anywhere prone to flooding now will only have it worse. The coastal areas will also deal with flooding and storms in increasing frequency/severity. Maybe some of the northern flyover states would be best? Higher land around the great lakes for example? If I were looking to buy up some land today I'd even consider Canada, but only after the fires have died down. The only nice thing about wildfires burning 40 million acres of forest to the ground is that it'll be a while before there's enough fuel for it to happen again.
- haltist 3y agoSo it sounds like you don't think most of the US will adapt.
- autoexec 3y agoI'd have more faith if I saw a lot more effort being expended. It seems like most places are still pretending nothing will change. People are still buying property that regularly floods even while insurance companies are refusing to cover them. States are selling off their clean drinking water to industries that will waste and pollute it. Important infrastructure is left outdated and crumbling. Environmental protections are being rolled back, fracking and drilling continue. At this rate, it's looking pretty rough.
- hnburnsy 3y agoOne is losing residents and one is gaining. Could that partially explain what you descibed?
- haltist 3y agoSeems like that should be even more reason for Texas to upgrade their energy infrastructure like California.