5 ms·
One of the more likely black swan events that has the potential to cause global upheaval. Quite a bit of data now from other solar systems in terms of likelihoo
by shitstorms 3y ago
One of the more likely black swan events that has the potential to cause global upheaval. Quite a bit of data now from other solar systems in terms of likelihood of these events. So far it looks like it is slightly more likely to occur in the ramp up stage of a cycle, not at the very peak.
We would most likely see a very large sunspot(s) days before the event and have 10-15 hours to take action, decoupling transformers etc, but the effects would be massive nonetheless.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/July_2012_solar_storm https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/July_2012_solar_storm
https://spaceweatherarchive.com/2023/06/06/how-big-was-carringtons-sunspot/ https://spaceweatherarchive.com/2023/06/06/how-big-was-carri...
- Georgelemental 3y agoIt's not a black swan if there are historical examples, is it?
- shitstorms 3y agoThat's true. More of a grey swan if it has to be a bird.