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Yes, you are absolutely correct. This is exactly why the UN has predicted a slowing of population growth with an eventual peak of 10-11B in several decades. Ho
by joshuahedlund 3y ago
Yes, you are absolutely correct. This is exactly why the UN has predicted a slowing of population growth with an eventual peak of 10-11B in several decades.
However this article is suggesting a much more drastic slowing and much lower peak. I am interested in the evidence or assumptions that are different between these two forecasts.
- ZeroGravitas 3y agoUN projections have also been dropping over time: https://ourworldindata.org/world-population-update-2022 https://ourworldindata.org/world-population-update-2022 > Its previous release projected that the world population would be around 10.88 billion in 2100 and would not yet have peaked. > In this new release, the UN projects that the global population will peak before the end of the century – in 2086, at just over 10.4 billion people. > There are several reasons for this earlier and lower peak. One is that the UN expects fertility rates to fall more quickly in low-income countries compared to previous revisions. It also expects less of a ‘rebound’ in fertility rates across high-income countries in the second half of the century.