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Comparing UN projections from 2019 and 2022: https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Projections_of_population_growth&oldid=942588474#/media/File:World_popu
by Tade0 3y ago
Comparing UN projections from 2019 and 2022:
https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Projections_of_population_growth&oldid=942588474#/media/File:World_population_growth,_1700-2100,_2019_revision.png https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Projections_of_po...
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Projections_of_population_growth#/media/File:World_population_growth,_1700-2100,_2022_revision.png https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Projections_of_population_grow...
There's a visible shift towards the low end, with the peak now happening in this century, instead of the next.
I think it's unlikely that the global population will peak below 9bln, but below 10bln in within the realm of possibility, considering that it already had been revised by close to half a billion.
- misja111 3y agoI take any prediction for something >30 years away with a large grain of salt. There are just too many black swans that can happen. I.E global wars, technological/medical breakthroughs, effects of global warming etc.