Sadly quite a lot of people predicted the broad strokes of the 2008 financial crisis, COVID and Ukraine war, although you can always argue that they should have

Sadly quite a lot of people predicted the broad strokes of the 2008 financial crisis, COVID and Ukraine war, although you can always argue that they should have predicted things more precisely. - Crisis. It was just yet another round of banks making bad loans then getting bailed out by the government leading to a recession as credit was withdrawn. This has happened many times before and that it would happen again was obvious (and it will keep happening). - "Scientists create virus that escapes and causes pandemic" was not only predicted but was such an obvious possibility that it was a sci-fi staple. Even if for some reason you still deny the lab origin, Gates/WHO and friends had spent the previous decade predicting a mega-pandemic of respiratory virus, albeit usually of flu rather than a coronavirus. - Ukraine war, well ... there was not a shortage of words written about Russia over the past decade. And western intelligence did predict it I think, albeit only a few days in advance. Crying wolf definitely has downsides. It's a children's parable for a reason.