Ah, unrealistic because it's a plain extrapolation without accounting for any behavior change or indeed feedback effects. That makes sense, thanks! > It is not

Ah, unrealistic because it's a plain extrapolation without accounting for any behavior change or indeed feedback effects. That makes sense, thanks! > It is not unreasonable to assume that governments will follow through with at least some of their promises and pledges FWIW, it actually looks like we're on a path to 2.5-2.9 °C of warming with current policies, and nearly another 1°C reduction with current pledges which are indeed much less likely to fully materialise. Via https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Climate_change#/media/File:Greenhouse_gas_emission_scenarios_01.svg https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Climate_change#/media/File:Gre... which appears to use 2021 data. The "no climate policies" scenario is shown as having the lower error margin actually above +4°C