> Which one of these statements is more probable? I wonder if the error is more probable when there are no stakes. For example, suppose aliens have captured L

> Which one of these statements is more probable? I wonder if the error is more probable when there are no stakes. For example, suppose aliens have captured Linda. They will only return her if you choose the description of her which has the best chance of being true. Has anybody tested with something like that? I speculate that most people would instantly reject the answer with "extra stuff" in it. :)