5 ms·
South Korea is just the most extreme example of the global trend of below replacement rate and still decreasing fertility: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Total_f
by em500 3y ago
South Korea is just the most extreme example of the global trend of below replacement rate and still decreasing fertility: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Total_fertility_rate#/media/File:Total_Fertility_Rate_Map_by_Country.svg https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Total_fertility_rate#/media/Fi...
Central Africa is pretty much the only remaining region with fertility>3. Even in pretty poor countries like Bangladesh, which I learned in school had unsustainability high birth rates are already near or below replacement rate fertility. And if you look at time series trends, is't negative in the vast majority of countries: https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/SP.DYN.TFRT.IN https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/SP.DYN.TFRT.IN
- sho_hn 3y agoIt's a simplistic thought, but I often have this optimistic impulse that dealing with stabilizing the birth rate is easier than escaping the Malthusian trap would be, especially with energy use/person generally trending up.
- seneca 3y agoLongterm, it probably is. The problem is the transitional period. The reality of having a population with more elders and fewer working age adults will be absolutely brutal.