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Come close to solving the toy problem of autonomous driving first, we're still waiting.
by ResearchCode 3y ago
Come close to solving the toy problem of autonomous driving first, we're still waiting.
- Nevermark 3y agoI don’t know. I find pessimistic views, like you are expressing, very strange. My Tesla drives and navigates itself most of the time. 90-95% at least, just not 100%. As apposed to cars 10 or more years ago which didn’t do any of that. To me it is much like the “God of the Gaps” when tremendous progress on a big problem is dismissed negatively, due to the (continuously shrinking) gaps of what it can’t do.
- cma 3y agoWaymo and Cruise are operating without drivers which is much more impressive, even if in limited areas.
- Nevermark 3y agoI don’t know if it is much more impressive than Tesla, given Tesla’s “limited areas” don’t seem very limiting in my experience. But I think all these complementary takes on the problem, with significant year-to-year progress by all three firms, are fantastic. That used to be considered a fast learning curve!
- ResearchCode 3y agoWe are already five years late in autonomous vehicles replacing all truck drivers. We will see if we even have autonomous driving "long before" 33 years have passed. "AGI" (rebranded AI after "AI" failed to deliver) will of course still not be a thing.
- Nevermark 3y agoI have no idea what “late” technology means. And not delivering AGI yet is a problem? What are these broad technology schedule based criticisms founded on? I really want to understand this viewpoint! Hopefully not the over-optimism of anyone who uses optimistic timelines as a motivational force. That’s not real data. Or a suitable benchmark for human progress.