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Look at the scaling laws. We found that extrapolating the performance given a few data points with smaller models is actually very accurate. That's how they de
by albertzeyer 3y ago
Look at the scaling laws.
We found that extrapolating the performance given a few data points with smaller models is actually very accurate. That's how they determined hyper parameters, by tuning them on multiple smaller scale models and then extrapolating. So far, all those predictions were quite good.
Together with a bigger model, we also need more data to get better performance. If we add video and audio to the text data, we have still a lot more data we can use, so this is also not really a problem.
It would be very unexpected that those scaling laws are suddenly not true anymore for the next order of magnitude in model and data size.
- dontupvoteme 3y agoScaling laws apply to a single model. The best single model right now is supposedly a 8x mixture of experts, so not even really a single model in the purist sense. I still expect the final solution will be more along the lines of picking the best model(s) from a sea of possible models, switching them in and out as needed, and then automatically reiterating as needed.