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> If scientists and engineers manage to implement autonomous cars and robots that can do basic human tasks like clean, wait and take care of the sick and elderl
by andrewjl 3y ago
> If scientists and engineers manage to implement autonomous cars and robots that can do basic human tasks like clean, wait and take care of the sick and elderly we will wake up in a brand new world. It will put a lot of stress on the basics of society, such as democracy and having to work for a salary.
Based on the trends TFA discusses we'll be seeing severe social stress if basic tasks don't get automated. All due to labor shortages. Focusing on alternative arrangements to salaried work is backwards, unless the goal is boost labor participation.
Current demographics are baked in for the next 30 years and only point to a greater shortfall of labor in the future.[1] $1,000 signing bonuses for fast food jobs start to look quaint pretty quickly.
[1] https://www.penguinrandomhouse.com/books/545397/empty-planet-by-darrell-bricker-and-john-ibbitson/ https://www.penguinrandomhouse.com/books/545397/empty-planet...
- trashtester 3y agoThe only way we will NOT see severe social stress is if AI is able to barely keep up with the decline in labour supply. My gut feeling is that it will either be too little or way too much. Anyway, once they're able to fully robot-ify the police force, social upheaval may become easy to deal with for those in power.
- andrewjl 3y ago> My gut feeling is that it will either be too little or way too much. We've historically been very good at coming up with new things for people to do. Why would this time be any different? On the other hand it takes over two decades from the time someone's born until they are part of the workforce. That won't change and as a result we have a pretty good idea of what the upper threshold on labor looks like globally the next few decades.