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I was curious how many people caught driving durnk go on to drive drunk again, and a NHTSA study found an average of about 25 percent of people arrested for dru
by actuallyalys 3y ago
I was curious how many people caught driving durnk go on to drive drunk again, and a NHTSA study found an average of about 25 percent of people arrested for drunk driving had a prior arrest. About 30 percent of people with a drunk driving conviction had a prior conviction [0]. This is pretty high. I'm not sure if it's high enough to warrant a permanent ban, but long-term suspensions and mandatory interlocks seem justifiable.
(Edit) As philwelch points out, the recidivism rate of all drunk drivers is technically different than that of first-time offenders. Accounting for this doesn't seem to wildly change the recidivism rate, though.
[0]: https://www.nhtsa.gov/sites/nhtsa.gov/files/documents/811991-dwi_recidivism_in_usa-tsf-rn.pdf https://www.nhtsa.gov/sites/nhtsa.gov/files/documents/811991...
- philwelch 3y ago“Proportion of offenders who previously offended” is not necessarily an indication of “proportion of first-time offenders who will reoffend”.
- actuallyalys 3y agoThat's a good point. Since it's looking at offenders and not offenses, I don't think they can diverge too much (but perhaps I'm not thinking of the math correctly). I did find a study looking at just first-time offenders, which found a similar level after five years: https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3095888/figure/F1/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3095888/figure/....