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It's fun to watch how it blends together videos, but none of the three example videos are actually of high enough quality to be useful. 1. The boat video trans
by runeks 3y ago
It's fun to watch how it blends together videos, but none of the three example videos are actually of high enough quality to be useful.
1. The boat video transforms the coast into rolling waves and looks super weird
2. The swan/duck video looks better than the others, but the lighting is obviously wrong when looking closer. Looks like a cardboard cutout bird.
3. The car video looks like a video game from the 2000s, with low quality textures and wheels not turning.
Again, super interesting to see how it can come up with these "by itself", but utterly useless at the moment.
- strbean 3y agoYou missed "the duck looks like a swan wearing a duck skin-suit" :) I wouldn't call it entirely useless though - it makes for an interesting surreal effect. I could see something really cool coming out of this in the A Scanner Dark movie vein. I particularly liked Rusty Car in the Desert.
- nasir 3y agoI suppose this will be a stepping stone for it to get there.
- runeks 3y agoThat's what everyone seems to suppose. I don't see why it's warranted, though.
- yreg 3y agoBecause that was the case with generative images and audio.
- deleted 3y ago[deleted]
- danielbln 3y agoCompare where we were 1 year ago to where we are now, do the same for 5 years ago vs. now. The trajectory is pretty clear, is it not?
- capableweb 3y agoI agree with the general sentiment that things seems to be improving over time. But it won't always be like that, as at one point we'll reach AI winter again, and then it doesn't matter if the ecosystem moved incredibly fast for N years, you can't extrapolate that to future developments.
- spacemanspiff01 3y agoThere is all of this talk about an ai winter, and somehow I just kind of doubt it. Unlike in past decades there is a ridiculous amount of money, energy, and time going into the space, and unlike 40 years ago (or even 10) there are things that can actually make money now, and are not just academic research. (See stable diffusion/llama/ chatgpt) There will be businesses that actually make money on these technologies, and they will be research heavy (even a 5% improvement is a big deal) as things are still getting figured out. I could see speed dropping back towards 2017 like rates, but I kind of doubt we will ever see an true ai winter like the 90's early 00's The field is just too young with too many things as of yet untried, along with the fact that I doubt funding will dry up any time soon. (There are too many interests, from Nvidia wanting to sell more chips, to Microsoft wanting to sell more productivity, to defence, and political concerns between the US and China.) Yes, it won't go on forever, but also this time seems qualitatively different from the past AI cycles. (Granted I was not alive then)
- satvikpendem 3y agoNot that the AI summer/winter cycle won't ever stop, but people said the exact same things about how it's different this time for previous winters too. We might see plateaus after transformers and realize that we can't improve for some number of years.
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- ironborn123 3y agoone (quite convincing) theory is that anything that can be achieved by a carbon-based neural network (eg. human brain) can also be achieved by a silicon-based neural network. The hardware may change, but the hardware's software expressiveness shouldnt be affected, unless there is a fundamental chemistry constraint. Since human brains during dreams (lucid or otherwise) can generate coherent scenes, and transform individual elements in a scene, diffusion based models running on cpu/gpus should eventually be able to do the same.
- runeks 3y ago> one (quite convincing) theory is that anything that can be achieved by a carbon-based neural network (eg. human brain) can also be achieved by a silicon-based neural network. That the human brain is exactly equivalent in function to our current model of a neural network is a huge, unproven hypothesis.
- nasir 3y agoIt is not warranted but is the logical next step. You're not going to get Holywood quality generated video one day to the other. See MJ results one year apart. Indeed technically that might not be possible due to probabilistic nature of these models and may require a whole different technology. But one thing for sure is that enough labour and capital is going into it so the chances are not little.
- Kiro 3y ago"Utterly useless" would be it not outputting anything at all. This is useful enough for many things.
- _sys49152 3y agoall sd video results will seem useless until a creative genius figures out a hack to make it useful.
- the8472 3y agoStability of video models has been a big issue. This is progress, not necessarily the end state.