Thanks, great comment. I think a really important point you make is that many people (especially techies) tend to overestimate "rational" reasons for war, and

Thanks, great comment. I think a really important point you make is that many people (especially techies) tend to overestimate "rational" reasons for war, and they tend to forget we're all basically monkeys wearing pants. Just look at the war in Ukraine. Even if Russia completely "wins" the war, what do they "win"? A country where ~60-70% of the residents despise them? Some extra land (like Russia really has a problem with not enough land)? It's just a (very, very sad and tragic) dick-waving contest. A PRC attack on Taiwan would basically be the same thing.