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This is ridiculous. I was in Detroit last week... I have family there. I also drive a car. And I would rather that the world doesn't melt and the economy thriv
by mixmax 18y ago
This is ridiculous.
I was in Detroit last week... I have family there. I also drive a car. And I would rather that the world doesn't melt and the economy thrive. So I'm uniquely qualified to weigh in on the automobile industry.
Which would make me uniquely qualified to weigh in on the intricasies of modern farming since I have family that lives on a farm, went there last week and use dairy products on a regular basis.
On a more serious note, there are some basic economic insights that Seth seems to have completely missed: Some industries are skewed towards a scattered market with a lot of small players. Others are skewed toward a few large players. One of the main factors involved in this is fixed cost vs. variable cost. The automative industry has enormous fixed costs that it has to incur before it has a product that is ready to sell. This is true even if there are suppliers that can deliver most of the parts. Safety regulations alone costs hundreds of million for each model. This fixed cost has to be spread out across however many cars you sell. This is why some industries, such as the automative, semiconductor and aeronautics industries, have a few large players. If you only sell 1000 cars your fixed cost would be a prohibitively high percentage of the final price of the car. So there are a few large players because there are significant advantages to economies of scale.
Other industries, like carpenting, consulting and software don't have high fixed costs before they can go out and sell a product. Which is why there are a lot of small players in these markets.
Seth should stick to marketing.
- jjburka 18y agoExactly, and he seemed to limit his scope of car companies to American car companies. Since the Auto Industry is global one the number is much higher. And just because you have a lot of players in a market doesn't mean all of them are going to be innovative it just means there will be generally more innovation.
- oldgregg 18y agoGood point on industry dynamics, but I'm pretty sure he was being tongue in cheek.
- mixmax 18y agoyou're most probably right, I just got pretty pissed at reading such a broad sweeping post by a guy that has no idea what he is talking about. Guess it shows :-)
- antidaily 18y agoSo, Tesla Motors spent hundreds of millions of dollars just on safety regulations for the Roadster? I don't buy it.
- cousin_it 18y agoGood points, but one of the forces skewing industries toward large players is the large players themselves. They have an economy of scale to lobby new regulations. Removing some of the hundred-million safety regulations might just open the way to innovations that will improve safety. I just looked at some statistics - I know it's damn lies but - it seems traffic deaths per mile travelled were falling both before and after the US introduced car safety regulations, but before the regulations they were falling faster. Also Wikipedia says the mandating of airbags was controversial because their cost/benefit ratio is extremely high for a safety device. Hope someone more knowledgeable corrects me.