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The multifamily market is different from the single-family home market. Lots of MFH going in lately. But I'm not saying that people will move into the existin
by 01100011 3y ago
The multifamily market is different from the single-family home market. Lots of MFH going in lately. But I'm not saying that people will move into the existing cities. I'm only contending that folks will be forced into denser, urban environments and those may be built in previously suburban/rural areas or maybe existing cities. The incentives are coming though.
- btilly 3y agoThe problem is that NIMBY folks have the ability to block multifamily in California almost indefinitely. And often do. The cities where they most efficiently bock it are the ones with most of the offices, because local government collects more taxes over time with offices than housing. This is a result of https://www.nber.org/digest/apr05/lock-effect-californias-proposition-13 https://www.nber.org/digest/apr05/lock-effect-californias-pr.... The result? California is about 3-4 million housing units short of what it needs. And it is getting steadily worse. There is no prospect of this changing any time soon: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/California_housing_shortage https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/California_housing_shortage When it comes to rent, we're boiling the frog. And the frog is already well-cooked.
- 01100011 3y agoYou seem oddly fixated on CA(and, really, Coastal CA) regional issues. Issues with fixes already in the works. > about 3-4 million housing units short of what it needs Completely separate rant, but I take issue with this. You can go find stats and articles from 2006 saying the same thing, and then, suddenly, we had enough housing. It's almost as if economics drives the housing people choose and when circumstances change they can opt for something else(relocation, MFH, living with family, delaying household formation, etc).