> I always bring up that whole news cycle in 2017 about a potential war with North Korea. How many people spent time and energy on that, and how do they feel ab

> I always bring up that whole news cycle in 2017 about a potential war with North Korea. How many people spent time and energy on that, and how do they feel about that now? Media is adversarial And then there are tons of counter examples: "no way Russia will invade Ukraine", "Hitler will stop at Poland", etc. then the opposite happens. How do those people feel? Did they dismiss the stories warning of imminent conflict as adversarial media hysteria? Expecting people to correctly follow a news story or not based on an unknown future outcome is impossible. If you can consistently bat above .500 in predicting the news, there's a lot of money to be made in prediction markets.