3 ms·
If you have very wide error bars, shouldn't your estimate of impact probability be much lower than 3%? Most trajectories within your error bars will not interse
by snewman 3y ago
If you have very wide error bars, shouldn't your estimate of impact probability be much lower than 3%? Most trajectories within your error bars will not intersect the Earth.
- jacquesm 3y agoThe 3% is likely the median of the probability range. You need more observations (and more accurate ones to narrow it further down, but for a first estimate it will do).