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It is harrowing. And I'd like to hope that folks that live in Oregon are familiar with it. Living in California, we get public service announcements and outrea
by whartung 3y ago
It is harrowing. And I'd like to hope that folks that live in Oregon are familiar with it.
Living in California, we get public service announcements and outreach about preparedness. The FEMA guidelines of 3 days supplies are a fine rule of thumb for a lot of disruptive scenarios. I personally feel a 2 week ability to "shelter in place" is about the best one can hope for. But all of those rely on the underlying detail that should some great disaster hit an area like Southern California, that there is a large amount of infrastructure and support outside of the area that can be marshaled and rallied to support those impacted by the event.
Simply put, within 2 weeks, not only has the cavalry arrived, you're likely already on your way out to a safe area.
Mind, I live in a earthquake zone. My singular true risk is uncontrolled fire. Modern, wood stick frame housing is very resilient and resistant in collapse in case of a large quake. It can condemn the house, but the house will not likely crush the occupants.
But fire, well fire is fire. We, unfortunately, know far too much about the disaster potential for fire. So, my hope is that at worse the house gets broken, doesn't catch on fire, and someone will show up within 2 weeks helping me get to someplace else. Other than that, just gotta wing it.
2 weeks of random soup and beans from a can is not a hard thing to stock up. Water is a trick if you're not doing it consciously, but it's not up to the rafters with supplies if you do.
Oregon, however, is just not so lucky. If they get their planned for monster earthquake, it's very likely help will not be able to arrive within 2 weeks. You're likely looking at a much more apocalyptic scenario rated at several months. If anything, you should prepare to start hiking out.
The infrastructure impact seems to be very high in Oregon. Even nearby help may not be able to get to you, with the roads being in utter ruin.
So all I can hope is that there is effective outreach to the folks in Oregon and some solid advice shared on how to potentially cope with these events should they happen. Because Oregon has different issues and the generic guidelines likely will not be successful in this case.
- brewdad 3y agoI agree. My plan is get as far east as I can in the days following the “Big One”There will be bridges out and help will not be coming from the west or north. Likely not the south either. Realistically, I’m already pushing 50, so if the quake happens, I might hope to be crushed in the rubble instantly rather than starve over the ensuing weeks. The longer it takes for the quake to happen, the higher the probability I will.
- ianburrell 3y agoYou are better off staying put in your house. Get supplies, the most important is two weeks of water. You probably have two weeks of food, but more is better. After supplies return, it would mainly be waiting around for services to get fixed. Then could think about leaving. One big problem with walking to safety is that the bridges along the highways will be out. Plus, a lot of people will have the same idea. Most of the official help from central Oregon will be focused on helping western Oregon and not on refugees. Finally, you are missing route for the supplies: the river. It should be possible to clear the fallen bridges and open the ports. Ships can provide a lot more aid than trucks.