4 ms·
The people saying that were presumably making predictions about whether or not he'd be found guilty with a jail sentence (which hasn't yet happened), not that i
by swores 3y ago
The people saying that were presumably making predictions about whether or not he'd be found guilty with a jail sentence (which hasn't yet happened), not that if he does something as stupid as witness tampering he wouldn't have his bail revoked (which is what has happened).
Personally I always thought it extremely likely he would get a prison sentence, but I think you're being premature to act like people who didn't think that have already been proven wrong.
- wmf 3y agoIf he really owned the entire judiciary of the US and Bahamas his bail wouldn't have been revoked.
- parl_match 3y agoHonestly, it sounds like his influence absolutely helped him get cushy terms of release. It was just after _repeated_ and _willful_ violations of the conditions of bail, that it was revoked. This was not his first run-in with the judge over his bail conditions, it's wild that he was allowed more.
- adrr 3y agoWhat are you comparing it to? There is witness intimidation going right now on another high profile case and I doubt they’ll revoke bail. I am curious what are the normal thresholds before you get bail revoked.
- dragonwriter 3y ago> There is witness intimidation going right now on another high profile case and I doubt they’ll revoke bail. The Other Guy has the sense to do vague and diffuse public messaging that (so far, without more of a pattern or additional acts) that has still gotten him warned about continuing it.
- maxbond 3y agoI think you missed the threads they're referencing. I see from your other comments you think there's a lot of hot takes in this thread. The threads around the time he was charged were full of nuclear takes about how the justice system was broken, how every minor development in the case meant he would get off scott free, etc. It also brought the antisemites of HN out of the woodwork to share conspiracy theories (given that SBF is a Jewish person who committed a financial crime). They were the roughest threads on HN I had seen at the time. (There were still good, insightful comments, but they were diamonds in the rough.) This is more or less an injoke. I completely see where they're coming from.
- mrguyorama 3y agoYou're forgetting how "He donated to democrats so he'll get off scott free"
- function_seven 3y agoYeah, stupidest hot-take I ever saw in this case. No politician will stick their neck out for someone based on past donations if: 1. There is little hope for future money 2. The donor is universally reviled If anything, that donation history made the recipients even more likely to turn on him. They must distance themselves.
- Ekaros 3y agoThere is time when you cut your useful idiots loose. And when they have run out of money, or you can make example of them makes perfect sense.
- sky_rw 3y agoThe opinion that I believe s most close to the truth re: favors for donations, is that politicians value constancy and dependability more than short term cash injections. One needs to be playing the game for decades before you can start earning 'get out of jail' type favors.
- randallsquared 3y ago
- martin8412 3y agoThere is no chance that he doesn't spend a large part of the rest of his life in prison. The crimes and financial amounts mean 30+ in federal jail.