It's so tiresome how much of popular geopolitical/macro "analysis" is literally just a linear extrapolation of surface metrics. Almost zero understanding of und

It's so tiresome how much of popular geopolitical/macro "analysis" is literally just a linear extrapolation of surface metrics. Almost zero understanding of underlying trends and agendas and how new technology (renewable energy, automation) will disrupt. Growth went from 10% to 5%, therefore it is basically 0% if not negative. Birthrates are down, therefore total demographic collapse is imminent. Some real estate projects failed, therefore all real estate is about to crash. So much noise. But hey, the Strategic Competition Act of 2021 earmarked hundreds of millions of dollars for producing such nonsense.