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> I believe the earth is warming, but that much of it is probably due to existing natural trends and that adaptation will not be particularly hard. That's call
by myshpa 3y ago
> I believe the earth is warming, but that much of it is probably due to existing natural trends and that adaptation will not be particularly hard.
That's called denial and hopium.
> When models can predict El Niño with precision or changes in large scale circulation then I think I will be convinced
We can't predict what local weather will be 3+ days from now. You're being unrealistic, at least.
- brutusborn 3y agoHaha perhaps, but I don’t think so. There’s no fundamental reason our climate models can’t have resolution that allows us to see major natural processes. If we can’t confidently predict weather 3 days out at decent resolution, why are we so confident in forecasts of 50 years with a coarse resolution? And if our models don’t contain important forcing such as sulphite aerosols and volcanic activity, how can be so certain of attribution to GHG? I know people usually start talking about the precautionary principle at this point, but I think a big part of that is being skeptical of the models unless their predictions closely match observation.
- myshpa 3y agohttps://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=37012248 https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=37012248