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I've heard all my life that the climate system is fiendishly difficult to model (which seems true enough to me), and nearly always in the context that perhaps t
by hotpotamus 3y ago
I've heard all my life that the climate system is fiendishly difficult to model (which seems true enough to me), and nearly always in the context that perhaps the undesirable predictions of these models may not come to pass (AKA climate change denialism). To me, the unpredictability of making measurable changes to the composition of the Earth's atmosphere is a reason not to do it; not an excuse that can do whatever we want with no repercussion. I'm pretty sure this all ends badly.
- ImaCake 3y agoNot sure im reading you right but i assume ur just saying “it cant be done”? To which I would like to to point to decades of consensus on global warming and that, yes, the climate is absolutely over 1C warmer now than the mid 20th century. Models are wrong, but the ones climatologist use are clearly getting something right!
- hotpotamus 3y agoOh, I suppose it can and has been done well enough that we can now see the shape of our doom. The denialist argument for a long time seemed to be that impeccably accurate models are impossible and thus no model should be used for any predictive purposes, and therefore we didn't need to take any action. The game may still be technically going on, but I'm fairly sure their side has already locked in their "win" and the outcome is now certain.