4 ms·
> I'm surprised the prediction markets don't seem to be reacting. Which way would you have the prediction markets go? Is this evidence for or against room-temp
by aqme28 3y ago
> I'm surprised the prediction markets don't seem to be reacting.
Which way would you have the prediction markets go? Is this evidence for or against room-temperature superconductivity?
- modeless 3y agoSince IMO this makes fraud a less likely explanation, and it seems easily possible to me that there are many materials in this family with different critical temperatures, and it seems really unlikely that the original researchers would correctly measure superconductivity but simply get the temperature wrong by more than 200K, then it seems strongly positive to the probability that the original researchers discovered room temperature superconductivity. Not confirmation, of course.