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These are the exact things we should be trying to automate rather than automating away writers, artists, actors etc. Personally I think it all depends on gettin
by rcarr 3y ago
These are the exact things we should be trying to automate rather than automating away writers, artists, actors etc. Personally I think it all depends on getting a humanoid Boston Dynamics style robot made. Once you've got that done, you hook it up so it can be controlled remotely via VR. Then you get trades people and workers of menial jobs to control these robots and start doing these unpleasant tasks. Once you've done that enough years and collected enough data, then you can build an AI for plumbing, garbage collecting etc. Then you can have robots that can do literally any task, you just have to load the right module into them like Neo in the Matrix.
Society then probably gets restructured so that everyone is expected to get at least a PhD rather than a bachelors. Mathematic literacy matches that of linguistic literacy - it will no longer be socially acceptable to claim you are bad at math the same way it's no longer acceptable to be unable to read or write. Almost everyone will have the engineering knowledge necessary so they know how to fix and program the robots. Everyone learns multiple languages and does part of their studies abroad so there is less destructive nationalism. Society starts to value knowledge and the dissemination of knowledge more than the accumulation of capital and wealth which only leads to the destructive forces of extreme inequality and wealth. We start moving towards a more utopian Star Trek vision of the world, hopefully culminating in the creation of a machine like the replicator and the ability to perform interstellar travel which would truly be the end of the scarcity dynamic and a new era of humanity based on abundance and scientific exploration.
- greedo 3y agoExpecting everyone to get a PhD is ridiculous. Even granting people enough time and enough Universities to manage this, there's a limit to half the world's intelligence. Unless you dumb down the meaning of a PhD, this isn't a realistic goal.
- rcarr 3y agoA few hundred years ago expecting everyone to be literate was thought ridiculous. Many people today think that everyone learning to code is ridiculous, yet I would wager that in 100 years, people will look back and wonder how people could get by when only 10% of the country were code literate. The standard of education rises continually throughout time. The PhD will become the new normal, just like the Masters degree is increasingly becoming the new normal today. Number of People with Bachelors degrees continues to grow: https://www.forbes.com/sites/michaeltnietzel/2021/02/22/new-from-us-census-bureau-number-of-americans-with-a-bachelors-degree-continues-to-grow/?sh=6df798d17bbc https://www.forbes.com/sites/michaeltnietzel/2021/02/22/new-... Number of People with Masters and PhD degrees doubled since 2000: https://www.census.gov/library/stories/2019/02/number-of-people-with-masters-and-phd-degrees-double-since-2000.html https://www.census.gov/library/stories/2019/02/number-of-peo...
- greedo 3y agoCurrent completion rates for doctoral program hovers around 56%. And that's with a huge gating process filtering out unqualified candidates. The idea that this will become a norm is just not realistic. A Bachelor's degree is averaging six years now, a Masters another two/three and a PhD ten. Expecting people to spend 18-20 years to achieve a PhD just goes against all trends unless the three degrees become seriously degraded in standards.