6 ms·
Because of prediction markets like https://polymarket.com/event/is-the-room-temp-superconductor-real https://polymarket.com/event/is-the-room-temp-superconducto
by aaron695 3y ago
Because of prediction markets like https://polymarket.com/event/is-the-room-temp-superconductor-real https://polymarket.com/event/is-the-room-temp-superconductor... there is a reason to put in an effort to fake this.
This is very well done if faked (dated up the top left), so it would be another first if it was a real fake. That would also be exciting.
The strange things are...
No one else can find it yet.
It's not a phone video off a monitor, it's an actual video, time stamped and watermarked. Poster says Twitter is lowing the quality. It's also a strange aspect ratio and position for lab video (that watermarks a date).
It's watermarked with a unknown watermark.
Twitter account is brand new.
- yorwba 3y agoThe "LTC" watermark in blue might refer to "linear timecode" https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Linear_timecode https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Linear_timecode and I guess it's possible whatever equipment they used to embed the timestamp in the video also adds this watermark.
- fallingknife 3y agoThere is not enough liquidity. The max profit you can take from that market by betting on yes at this point is around $17,000. It probably costs something like that or more to do a convincing fake at this point.
- jliptzin 3y agoHow would it possibly cost $17k to make a shit quality video like that?
- fallingknife 3y agoIf "either get your hands on high temperature superconductors or use CGI" is on the to-do list, it's not a good project for only a $17k payoff.
- geostupid 3y agoThanks so much for the link to Polymarket. I haven't seen a prediction site since Intrade.
- whimsicalism 3y agoInteresting. This market is illegal in the US yeah? Violates CFTC letter e: Looked it up, they got fined a few million a year ago so now US users cannot bet