3 ms·
Manifold markets jumped to ~40% likelihood (briefly around 60%) after this paper was published.
by montenegrohugo 3y ago
Manifold markets jumped to ~40% likelihood (briefly around 60%) after this paper was published.
- whimsicalism 3y agoAs someone familiar with DFT, that is arbitrage opportunity:)
- montenegrohugo 3y agoDo it! Put your money where your mouth is and get ez $ (and help shape a more accurate estimate!)
- whimsicalism 3y agooh, I did :) - love me some yummy internet points e: oh wow holy crap manifold has a lot more liquidity than when I last checked in, sold for an easy profit now that I think it has returned to a more reasonable probability