> except for incentivizing action to tilt the odds, which is weirdly amoral. It depends on what's at stake. One example is predicting someone's death. > if yo

> except for incentivizing action to tilt the odds, which is weirdly amoral. It depends on what's at stake. One example is predicting someone's death. > if you bet on a bad thing happening, you can cash in by making it happen yourself. Yes, and that could be a huge problem, don't you think? It creates an incentive for a bad thing happening that wouldn't exist otherwise. I say this as someone who is in huge favor of markets but also hates their externalities.