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Probably not fast enough. To actually come back to the population we have today would take a really long time.

by ramraj07 3y ago

onlypositive 3y ago
Population caps out at 10b and begins to decline again around 2100. That's the current projections.
- ramraj07 3y ago
  Which means 2 centuries before we get back to 7 or 8.
  - mumin 3y ago
    Don't worry, climate change will speed that right up
    - ramraj07 3y ago
      I do worry, because the ones that die will not be the ones who reaped the benefits and remain nonchalant about it today.
- Tade0 3y ago
  UN projections, which are on the "business as usual" side of things. Plenty of events, like the pandemic, which put immense downward pressure on fertility. Also, the African continent is a net food importer. This could be turned around - particularly by Nigeria, which has the natural resources to produce fertiliser, but so far the observed effect has been a surge (+65%) of imports. With the situation in Ukraine being what it is, I don't think this is sustainable. Niger is currently experiencing a population explosion, which will force it to implement the same policies as Kenya to prevent a Malthusian catastrophe.
josefx 3y ago
Going too fast will cause other issues. Unless we get a decent world war or another covid going the elderly aren't just going to drop dead.
- HenryBemis 3y ago
  I fear that a 'decent world war' nowadays may include nukes, so damage to the environment will be great. As an example, the dam that was destroyed in Ukraine and flooded a 'small area' (considering the planet-scale)(https://www.cbc.ca/news/world/kakhova-dam-ukraine-russia-1.6872792 https://www.cbc.ca/news/world/kakhova-dam-ukraine-russia-1.6...). Which (your post and my thinking of a response) reminded me of the series: Aftermath - Population Zero (https://www.imdb.com/title/tt1264068/); https://www.imdb.com/title/tt1264068/); I remember watching some series back in the day.. I think it's time to watch this again. EDIT: I found it on YT: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=l11zPNb-MFg https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=l11zPNb-MFg
  - ramraj07 3y ago
    I'm slowly starting to realise that nukes are very unlikely to be involved simply because the selfish shits who start and run the wars know they personally won't survive if they start the nuke match.

Probably not fast enough. To actually come back to the population we have today would take a really long time.

onlypositive 3y ago

Population caps out at 10b and begins to decline again around 2100. That's the current projections.

ramraj07 3y ago
Which means 2 centuries before we get back to 7 or 8.
- mumin 3y ago
  Don't worry, climate change will speed that right up
  - ramraj07 3y ago
    I do worry, because the ones that die will not be the ones who reaped the benefits and remain nonchalant about it today.
Tade0 3y ago
UN projections, which are on the "business as usual" side of things. Plenty of events, like the pandemic, which put immense downward pressure on fertility. Also, the African continent is a net food importer. This could be turned around - particularly by Nigeria, which has the natural resources to produce fertiliser, but so far the observed effect has been a surge (+65%) of imports. With the situation in Ukraine being what it is, I don't think this is sustainable. Niger is currently experiencing a population explosion, which will force it to implement the same policies as Kenya to prevent a Malthusian catastrophe.

josefx 3y ago

Going too fast will cause other issues. Unless we get a decent world war or another covid going the elderly aren't just going to drop dead.

HenryBemis 3y ago
I fear that a 'decent world war' nowadays may include nukes, so damage to the environment will be great. As an example, the dam that was destroyed in Ukraine and flooded a 'small area' (considering the planet-scale)(https://www.cbc.ca/news/world/kakhova-dam-ukraine-russia-1.6872792 https://www.cbc.ca/news/world/kakhova-dam-ukraine-russia-1.6...). Which (your post and my thinking of a response) reminded me of the series: Aftermath - Population Zero (https://www.imdb.com/title/tt1264068/); https://www.imdb.com/title/tt1264068/); I remember watching some series back in the day.. I think it's time to watch this again. EDIT: I found it on YT: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=l11zPNb-MFg https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=l11zPNb-MFg
- ramraj07 3y ago
  I'm slowly starting to realise that nukes are very unlikely to be involved simply because the selfish shits who start and run the wars know they personally won't survive if they start the nuke match.