4 ms·

By this logic Twitter should also be growing, as it’s even better than threads in terms of content. Yet not only is Twitter not growing but it’s shrinking. I

By this logic Twitter should also be growing, as it’s even better than threads in terms of content. Yet not only is Twitter not growing but it’s shrinking. I think your expectations for success in this vertical are off.

andrewstuart 3y ago
Google says “Twitter has approximately 450 million monthly active users as of 2022”. I’d say that’s probably broadly the number of potential Twitter users. If you think user growth should be exponential to all people in the planet, then that is false.
phpisthebest 3y ago
in my world of twitter/x I see no signs of shrinking...
- monetus 3y ago
  I clicked through from the sibling link to Elon's profile, and only see posts from last April and older? The reach of the site is.. not reaching. It is pulling back.
dahfizz 3y ago
> Yet not only is Twitter not growing but it’s shrinking. Source? Musk just tweeted about a new all-time monthly user record. It's not impossible that he would lie, but my impression is not at all that Twitter is shrinking. There's a whole lot of discussion about Twitter shrinking and high profile people leaving, but they don't. Stephen king comes to mind as a big critic that threatened over and over to leave, but he hasn't. [1] https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1684978651857596429 https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1684978651857596429
- LordAtlas 3y ago
  You realise he tweeted a line graph without an X-axis?
- dragonwriter 3y ago
  > Musk just tweeted about a new all-time monthly user record. It's not impossible that he would lie On the rare occasion he makes non-trivial, falsifiable claims, its pretty common that they turn out to be other-than-accurate, yes. > but my impression is not at all that Twitter is shrinking. My impression is that the set of advertisers (not regular Blue users, though they are a different kind of advertiser paying for reach) are narrowing and moving downmarket in a way which would take truly enormous numbers of Blue users to compensate for. Whether its shrinking or not is somewhat beside the point.
  - dahfizz 3y ago
    It wouldn't surprise me if Twitter revenue is down. It also wouldn't surprise me if Twitter revenue is up. Unfortunately, with it being private I don't think we'll ever know. > Whether its shrinking or not is somewhat beside the point. In a thread entirely about Twitter/threads user count, whether it's shrinking is the entire point.
- rpgbr 3y ago
  Half a billion users? Is Elon counting everyone who sees an embed tweet as a user?
- threeseed 3y ago
  > new all-time monthly user record I have been using Twitter almost since the beginning. Never have I ever seen this many bots and fake accounts on the platform. So I would be highly dubious of that user record count.
  - solardev 3y ago
    Well, this is Twitter after all. Probably the average LLM posts higher quality stuff than the average user there.

andrewstuart 3y ago

Google says “Twitter has approximately 450 million monthly active users as of 2022”. I’d say that’s probably broadly the number of potential Twitter users. If you think user growth should be exponential to all people in the planet, then that is false.

phpisthebest 3y ago

in my world of twitter/x I see no signs of shrinking...

monetus 3y ago
I clicked through from the sibling link to Elon's profile, and only see posts from last April and older? The reach of the site is.. not reaching. It is pulling back.

dahfizz 3y ago

> Yet not only is Twitter not growing but it’s shrinking. Source? Musk just tweeted about a new all-time monthly user record. It's not impossible that he would lie, but my impression is not at all that Twitter is shrinking. There's a whole lot of discussion about Twitter shrinking and high profile people leaving, but they don't. Stephen king comes to mind as a big critic that threatened over and over to leave, but he hasn't. [1] https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1684978651857596429 https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1684978651857596429

LordAtlas 3y ago
You realise he tweeted a line graph without an X-axis?
dragonwriter 3y ago
> Musk just tweeted about a new all-time monthly user record. It's not impossible that he would lie On the rare occasion he makes non-trivial, falsifiable claims, its pretty common that they turn out to be other-than-accurate, yes. > but my impression is not at all that Twitter is shrinking. My impression is that the set of advertisers (not regular Blue users, though they are a different kind of advertiser paying for reach) are narrowing and moving downmarket in a way which would take truly enormous numbers of Blue users to compensate for. Whether its shrinking or not is somewhat beside the point.
- dahfizz 3y ago
  It wouldn't surprise me if Twitter revenue is down. It also wouldn't surprise me if Twitter revenue is up. Unfortunately, with it being private I don't think we'll ever know. > Whether its shrinking or not is somewhat beside the point. In a thread entirely about Twitter/threads user count, whether it's shrinking is the entire point.
rpgbr 3y ago
Half a billion users? Is Elon counting everyone who sees an embed tweet as a user?
threeseed 3y ago
> new all-time monthly user record I have been using Twitter almost since the beginning. Never have I ever seen this many bots and fake accounts on the platform. So I would be highly dubious of that user record count.
- solardev 3y ago
  Well, this is Twitter after all. Probably the average LLM posts higher quality stuff than the average user there.