3 ms·

I would wager a guess that in most (if not all) of those countries, a relatively large % of children die young. That is: population growth in those countries c

I would wager a guess that in most (if not all) of those countries, a relatively large % of children die young. That is: population growth in those countries could be much less than fertility rates suggest. Whether that situation improves, will vary per country. But where it does, you'll likely see an overshoot caused by families-with-many-children that now survive until they get older, before women start having fewer children. See eg. some of Hans Rosling's videos for a nice illustration of these dynamics.

Animats 3y ago
> But where it does, you'll likely see an overshoot caused by families-with-many-children that now survive until they get older, before women start having fewer children. That's what happened to India. Fertility rate: [1] Population: [2] Infant mortality rate.[3] China imposed a one-child policy for a while to prevent such an overshoot, and it worked.[4] India had only 2/3 the population of China in 1960; now India has more people. Probably more than India can support in current climatic conditions. [1] https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/SP.DYN.TFRT.IN?locations=IN https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/SP.DYN.TFRT.IN?location... [2] https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/SP.POP.TOTL?locations=IN https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/SP.POP.TOTL?locations=I... [3] https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/SP.DYN.IMRT.MA.IN?locations=IN https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/SP.DYN.IMRT.MA.IN?locat... [4] https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/SP.POP.TOTL?locations=IN-CN https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/SP.POP.TOTL?locations=I...