4 ms·
This line of thinking is common but highly flawed. If it were true, everyone would be super religious just because their ancestors were. In reality there are s
by WJW 3y ago
This line of thinking is common but highly flawed. If it were true, everyone would be super religious just because their ancestors were.
In reality there are several issues:
- People have minds of their own and can willingly choose to leave a group. You see this all the time with Mormons for example. In order for such a group to eventually dominate, they need to grow even faster to compensate for this natural "leakage".
- "As long as there's enough food and no wars or mass oppression" seems like an extremely optimistic assumption.
- Reproduction rate is not constant. It is quite possible that R will be low for a couple of decades or centuries before rising again (and possibly falling again even later). Trying to predict long term trends by linearly extrapolating the current value of such a highly variable metric is not going to work in any complex system.
- pantalaimon 3y agoThat requires ideas to be easily transmissible. You absolutely have regimes and cults that work hard to shield their members from being "infected" by outside ideas by instilling that those are a heresy and ultimately the source of bad things.
- lotsofpulp 3y ago> This line of thinking is common but highly flawed. If it were true, everyone would be super religious just because their ancestors were. Most people of the world did not have access to super effective birth control until recent decades. And most women did not have complete agency until recent decades.