3 ms·
What do the "super forecasters" have to say about this? Was this predicted on prediction markets? Was the assumption of this tech existing already factored into
by rohan_ 3y ago
What do the "super forecasters" have to say about this? Was this predicted on prediction markets? Was the assumption of this tech existing already factored into prediction models?
- hcks 3y agoPrediction markets say this will probably not replicate (and imo even overestimate the probability of replication)
- treme 3y agolink? interested in this wager
- pallas_athena 3y agohttps://polymarket.com/event/is-the-room-temp-superconductor-real https://polymarket.com/event/is-the-room-temp-superconductor...
- shusaku 3y ago~20% of a ground breaking discovery is actually a good week in my view!