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If I understand you correctly, you believe that "micro behavior is unpredictable", thereby suggesting that technical analysis (TA) is not possible on shorter ti
by tutfbhuf 3y ago
If I understand you correctly, you believe that "micro behavior is unpredictable", thereby suggesting that technical analysis (TA) is not possible on shorter timeframes. However, you seem to allow for some applicability of TA on larger timeframes, such as the concept of a "positive trendline", a term that occurs quiet frequently in TA. That's an interesting perspective.
- nameless912 3y agoI mean insofar as "market goes up over time", that's been pretty much a guarantee, at least on a large enough timeframe, since what, the 1930s? I wouldn't call that TA though, that's basic observation of a trend over time. TA purports to read the market's "mood" and predict its behavior via a bunch of mathematical indicators, which are about as useful and scientific as pickup artistry.