> Instead I use “appears in a credible journal” as a basis for trusting the apparent direction of travel Using that is like using 'Someone raised a concern in

> Instead I use “appears in a credible journal” as a basis for trusting the apparent direction of travel Using that is like using 'Someone raised a concern in a meeting' as a basis for believing something. Anyone can raise a concern, or publish a paper. What matters is whether or not other people are convinced by the paper. Consensus. Use 'scientific consensus' as your weather-vane. (PS. The scientific consensus on climate change is 'things aren't looking great, we need to turn the bus around, we aren't turning the bus around'.) ... Or go learn and become an expert in the field for yourself. It should only take ~20,000 hours of making a lot of mistakes along the way.