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You are saying there are no scientists that predicted we would have more sea level rise than we actually do by now?
by SirMaster 3y ago
You are saying there are no scientists that predicted we would have more sea level rise than we actually do by now?
- lamontcg 3y agoIf you're asking if you can disprove the previous statement by finding a single example of a scientist who predicted wild rises in sea level that haven't happened, the answer is 'no'. Most scientists can still have historically been overly conservative even if you can find a few that made over the top predictions. It should be perfectly obvious that the presence of a few outliers doesn't invalidate the median of the sample.
- jeffbee 3y agoThe IPCC 1990 report predicted that sea level rise would abruptly accelerate from recent historic averages of 1-2mm/yr to 2-7mm/yr, and that is what happened. Satellite altimetry has tracked the central estimate of the 1990 IPCC predictions quite closely.
- deleted 3y ago[deleted]
- SirMaster 3y agoI'm not trying to disprove anything. I am trying to understand if there is some chance that this estimate could perhaps be an outlier. For example: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Global_cooling#/media/File:PeerReviewedPapersComparingGlobalWarmingAndCoolingIn1970s.jpg https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Global_cooling#/media/File:Pee... How can I know whether this prediction will end up being one of the blue line or one of the red line.