3 ms·
Last sentence in the Abstract: "We estimate a collapse of the AMOC to occur around mid-century under the current scenario of future emissions."
by ridgeguy 3y ago
Last sentence in the Abstract:
"We estimate a collapse of the AMOC to occur around mid-century under the current scenario of future emissions."
- aport 3y agoFurther in the paper "The mean of the bootstrapped estimates of the tipping time is 〈tc〉 = 2050, and the 95% confidence interval is 2025–2095."
- digdugdirk 3y agoWhoof. Those are some spooky error bars.
- mikeyouse 3y agoEspecially since almost every "long term" problem seems to be happening in the much shorter term than was originally predicted. Not great!
- stoneman24 3y agoClimate change was sometimes dismissed (or reduced) by saying that’s it an issue for our grandchildren. With those error bars (NOW to +40 years), the immediate nature of the problem and the required response should hit home. Given recent heatwaves, I think nature is starting to hit us with the clue stick. I hope the important people are listening.