It is not clear to me how desperate the need is. It is not hard to find examples of things that, at first glance, seem clearly nonsensical. But some examples ma

It is not clear to me how desperate the need is. It is not hard to find examples of things that, at first glance, seem clearly nonsensical. But some examples may be miscoded and corrected later, while other examples are simply misunderstandings of the common use of the code. This seems to be the primary strategy for election deniers. But even if a tree is actually a large bush, forests still exist. We can predict with reasonable accuracy how many people will die of the most common causes, because the numbers are big. That is the strength of excess death estimates. I do not think there is much disagreement over most of these statistics by people who understand the estimation process.