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> that both are ok right up until the tipping point where they very much aren't. I think this part is right, and that Nassim Taleb has correct take on it - you
by SkyMarshal 3y ago
> that both are ok right up until the tipping point where they very much aren't.
I think this part is right, and that Nassim Taleb has correct take on it - you can never predict ahead of time when that tipping point will occur, you can only fortify yourself against the possibility (become less fragile to it).
But people tend to make the mistake of looking back at past tipping points that caused systemic harm and arguing they were foreseeable based on what we know now after it occurred, not what we knew and perceived then before it occurred. Any analysis or consideration of pending systemic risk must take steps to avoid this mistake.
- itsanaccount 3y agoand thats why i span the rural/urban divide. because about 10 years ago I heard the chatter of scientists explaining that the IPCC was wrong, that the chance for rapid acceleration of things we can reverse was real high, and I made a plan. bout 3 years ago i moved to the middle of nowhere, to a storm resistent building, geothermal, adding solar, in a swamp where ground temps are mediated, in a state least likely to be touched. originally i did it because i thought it was prudent because it was going to happen to me. nowadays I'm so sick of people i long for my dirt nap, so with the agroforest, with the nut trees and the garden, the shop and the spare parts, maybe i can at least live (and leave good bones) for the people who come after me to do better than we did.