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This factor of 5 difference in 3rd world countries might actually be explained by Smeed's Curve: "In 1947 Ruben Smeed, the founding father of transport studies
by Drunk_Engineer 3y ago
This factor of 5 difference in 3rd world countries might actually be explained by Smeed's Curve:
"In 1947 Ruben Smeed, the founding father of transport studies in Britain, discovered an intriguing statistical relationship [for 20 countries] between the number of cars per person, and the road accident fatality rate per car. The data revealed that as numbers of cars increased, the death rate per car plummeted.
"The Smeed Curve might be considered a societal learning curve. As one encounters
more cars people, literally, learn how to live with them. Another part of the explanation might be found in contemplation of other societal changes that accompany rising car ownership. Car ownership correlates highly with measures of affluence. Death rates per car decrease as affluence increases.
"When cars are few in number most fatalities are vulnerable road users (pedestrians, cyclists and motorcyclists). As vehicle numbers increase the vulnerable retreat."
http://john-adams.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2008/05/shared%20space.pdf http://john-adams.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2008/05/shared%20...
- blueflow 3y ago> His hypothesis in relation to road traffic safety has been refuted by several authors, who point out that fatalities per person have decreased in many countries, when according to Smeed's law requires they should increase as long as the number of vehicles per person continues to rise. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Smeed's_law#Empirical_contradictions https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Smeed's_law#Empirical_contradi...