3 ms·
> we know this because influenza cases went almost to zero during the pandemic, implying that the same behavior in the same population We don't know this no, w
by mike_hearn 3y ago
> we know this because influenza cases went almost to zero during the pandemic, implying that the same behavior in the same population
We don't know this no, what you said here is just an assumption. There's a competing hypothesis (viral interference) which seems to explain the data better.
The way epidemiology currently works just cannot tell us which virus is more infectious. I agree that a rebase onto microbiology would be hard and maybe fail but the current approach has already failed. Doing difficult research that might not pan out is how they justify grant funding in the first place.
- tripletao 3y ago> There's a competing hypothesis (viral interference) which seems to explain the data better. How would that explain why SARS-CoV-2 suppressed influenza, instead of influenza suppressing SARS-CoV-2? If viral interference occurs (which I agree it may), then the two simultaneous pandemics are coupled; but you'd still expect the virus with higher R0 to win.