3 ms·
> The problem is that a lot of tools managers will use to try to make schedules implicitly assume that errors will essentially be Gaussian. No, the fundamental
by bsder 3y ago
> The problem is that a lot of tools managers will use to try to make schedules implicitly assume that errors will essentially be Gaussian.
No, the fundamental problem is that someone who provides a genuinely accurate schedule always loses against someone who provides a politically palatable schedule.
Until you fix this, scheduling will always be inaccurate.
- _nalply 3y agoThis someone is perhaps not affected by a missed schedule as badly as others. It is rational to provide too optimistic a schedule. And if something goes amiss, find a political solution. One is to find a scapegoat.
- jerf 3y agoThat is a true problem, but an orthogonal one to what I am talking about. Gantt charts subtly, but deeply, work in the assumption that task failures will be Gaussian. There are many problems with the whole "I can schedule the world months in advance" in the software world, even these two aren't all of them. There's a reason it isn't just sort of a failure, but such a comprehensive failure, across decades, across all scales of projects, or, rather, there's a lot of reasons.