4 ms·
I'm bringing up an equation that needs consideration. PotentialDamage=NxP1xP2xP3xMaximumDamage Where N=Population of World P1=Percentage of people with
by tianshuo 15y ago
I'm bringing up an equation that needs consideration. PotentialDamage=NxP1xP2xP3xMaximumDamage
Where
N=Population of World
P1=Percentage of people with knowledge and access to Dangerous Technologies
P2= Percentage of Personalities who are destructive
P3=Percentage of People who actually act
MaximumDamage=The Number of Casualties that can be caused by a single person
While P1,P2,P3 is relatively stable, and N is almost linear, MaximumDamage is exponential. You can imagine weapons accessible to normal evolved from sticks, to axes, to guns and explosives. At the present moment the main reason that nuclear weapons are not in exploded by terrorists is not because of technology but because of scarce resources. But for bio-warfare, technology cost will exponentially shrink and impact will exponentially grow.
This means if this goes on, PotentialDamage will one day be larger than our population, and extinction will occur. By estimating these parameters we can even predict a data.