I'm not talking about synthetic replacement. That's a red herring. Humans will make decisions about which LLM to use based on factors entirely unrelated to dir

I'm not talking about synthetic replacement. That's a red herring. Humans will make decisions about which LLM to use based on factors entirely unrelated to direct task performance. They may be conscious of this irrationality, but it is more likely that they will not. My prediction is that AIs (in the LLM, homework-writing, prompt-in, response-out sense) will be consciously marketed on the basis of those non-task-specific factors. > Talking about "casting directors" suggests there's something fundamentally off about how you see AI. They're not actors hired to perform a play, or something. No, you've missed my point. Actors are hired because they have a monopoly on themselves. Musicians even more so. LLMs will be the same. Beyond a base level of competence, there will be "competition" between LLMs from different companies in the same sense there is "competition" between operatic baritones. You don't buy a ticket to see Bryn Terfel because he can hit a middle C.