It sounds like you embrace the frequentist interpretation of probability, but the bayesian aka subjectivist interpretation of probability says you can make pred

It sounds like you embrace the frequentist interpretation of probability, but the bayesian aka subjectivist interpretation of probability says you can make predictions on the likelihood of single events based on your knowledge. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Probability_interpretations https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Probability_interpretations