3 ms·
In one of the Agile training courses I took we were taught the concept of "horizon of predictability". The base one is two weeks. Within two weeks you more or
by renegade-otter 3y ago
In one of the Agile training courses I took we were taught the concept of "horizon of predictability". The base one is two weeks.
Within two weeks you more or less can estimate accurately. Beyond the two weeks, the estimates become pretty much useless. "Three months" is not an estimate. It just can't be one in good faith.
- kayodelycaon 3y agoI love those training courses and their narrow view of the world. I can be accurate with 3-month and 6-month projects. This is because long-term projects give me the space to allocate specific kinds of mental energy and attention efficiently and have steady progress. Short-term projects, I never know if I have the right kind of energy or attention to move forward. I often end up blocked by my brain, making my two week estimates unreliable.