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I've believed the lab leak was likely at least since the Atlantic (?) expose of the lab came out. Disheartening but not unsurprising to see political concerns
by sdwr 3y ago
I've believed the lab leak was likely at least since the Atlantic (?) expose of the lab came out.
Disheartening but not unsurprising to see political concerns + firefighting trump the truth.
Threading the needle between naivety, skepticism and conspiracy thinking is tricky. There's a tradeoff between being lazy + letting existing patterns think for you, vs doing the hard work of questioning.
Someone like Scott from SSC lands in the hard-working but naive box for me. Typical reddit (and HN) posts are lazy and skeptical.
- isitmadeofglass 3y ago[dead]
- rhaway84773 3y agoThere is no evidence for the lab leak theory. Even if it was a lab leak, I think it’s fairly uncontroversial that the null hypothesis cannot be that there was a lab leak. So the burden of proof lies on proving the lab leak. And there is very little to no evidence that it was other than “here’s a few unlikely things that happened”. However, if we used that standard to examine airplane crashes, for example, accidental airplane crashes wouldn’t exist. Because for an airplane crash to happen a lot of highly unlikely things need to go wrong in highly unlikely ways at the same time. Similarly for a once in a century global pandemic to happen, a lot of things need to go wrong in a lot of unexpected ways.